"We must not have a precipitous withdrawal
from Iraq. They are depending on us for protection." I hear this
argument - as at a recent conference in this city - and I am
disturbed at its assurance. It says we're stuck now. What else
can we do?
I have one suggestion. We can be clear
about our intentions. We can renounce any effort to achieve de
facto control of the oil reserves in Iraq.
This means something very specific. Eliminate
one of the "benchmarks" we've established for the Iraqi
government.
We hear a lot about the proposed "oil law"
whose purpose is to distribute revenue equitably among the
regions. What we hear is a lie. Three ambiguous sentences out of
some 35 pages refer to the distribution of oil revenues.
The purpose of the proposed law is to
allow Western oil companies a controlling investment in some 80
percent of Iraqi oil reserves (see Dennis Kucinich's May 23
address to the House).
The Iraqi national oil company would
continue in charge of presently producing fields, which
constitute 17 percent of known reserves. The remainder would be
opened for drilling by Western oil companies. An appointed
committee, not answerable to Parliament, would award the
contracts. Its subcommittee for review of contracts would
include foreign nationals representing the oil majors. The model
contract is a Production Sharing Agreement, a 30-year contract
granting foreign companies 75 percent of profits until
infrastructure costs are recovered and 20 percent of profits
after that.
No other country in the Middle East offers
Production Sharing Agreements. They all own and operate a
national oil company, letting out short-term contracts for
particular services. Iraq had a fine national oil company, until
we invaded. And they still don't need foreign investment
capital, because they have lots of easily accessible oil.
If our government should succeed in
privatizing the national oil industry of Iraq - with an
abundance of potential bribes, while we maintain control in
force of arms - the collaboration will never have legitimacy in
the Islamic world. Certainly not with the common people.
Revenues that should have gone to the
Iraqi people will be transferred to the coffers of what are
already the wealthiest corporations in the West. And a large
military force will be permanently stationed to defend their
production facilities.
The Islamic world is struggling to come to
terms with modernity (read Reza Aslan). One side in the struggle
would see modernization as compatible with Islam. The other sees
the modernized West as "the great Satan" and an offense to the
Islamic faith. Which of these two sides will seem to speak the
greater truth?
Some in this country will argue that we
should use military force to achieve our "self-interest" in
foreign lands, especially with regard to the world's remaining
oil supplies. This should be debated openly.
But consider this. If our invasion of Iraq
leads to a de facto control of their oil reserves, we will have
lost any grounds for claiming it is a "just war." We will be a
devouring culture, engaged in a war of aggression.
I think the majority of Americans have an
honest heart, but we've been fed many lies. If we don't wake up,
we could get 100 years of war, which we can never win because we
do not have justice on our side.